2012东三省数学建模论文论文

AR1,1 -0.212 1.000

残差白噪声检验

To Chi- Pr >

Lag Square DF ChiSq

--------------------Autocorrelations--------------------

6 8.02 5 0.1551 -0.052 -0.035 0.201

-0.109 -0.139 0.357

12 15.87 11 0.1460 0.014 -0.185 0.231

-0.138 -0.230 0.062

18 20.70 17 0.2399 -0.110 -0.101 0.223

0.049 -0.003 -0.048

24 22.80 23 0.4726 -0.013 -0.085 0.109

-0.017 -0.034 0.007

Autocorrelation Plot of Residuals

Lag Covariance Correlation -1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

9 1 Std Error

0 227.301 1.00000 | |********************| 0

1 -11.815987 -.05198 | . *| . | 0.179605

2 -7.960676 -.03502 | . *| . | 0.180090

3 45.600451 0.20062 | . |**** . | 0.180310

4 -24.819004 -.10919 | . **| . | 0.187372

5 -31.538167 -.13875 | . ***| . | 0.189413

6 81.071171 0.35667 | .

|*******. | 0.192664

7 3.143541 0.01383 | . | . | 0.212900

8 -41.965573 -.18463 | .

****| . | 0.212929

9 52.440522 0.23071 | . |***** . | 0.218032

10 -31.381756 -.13806 | .

***| . | 0.225770

11 -52.342172 -.23028 | .

*****| . | 0.228477

12 14.181318 0.06239 | .