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Spatial-temporalchangesofriceareaandproduction

inChinaduring1980-2010

LIUZhenhuan1,LIZhengguo1,TANGPengqin1,LIZhipeng1,WUWenbin1,YANGPeng1,YOULiangzhi2,TANGHuajun1

(1.InstituteofAgriculturalResourcesandRegionalPlanning,ChineseAcademyofAgriculturalSciences/

KeyLaboratoryofAgri-informatics,MinistryofAgriculture,Beijing100081,China;

2.EnvironmentandProductionTechnologyDivision,InternationalFoodPolicyResearchInstitute,

2033KStreet,NW,Washington,DC20006,USA)

Abstract:RiceisoneofthemostimportantstaplesinChina.Rice'sspatial-temporaldistributions,whicharevitaltoagricultural,environmentalandfoodsecurityresearch,areaffectedbynaturalconditionsaswellassocial-economicdevelopments.Inrecentyears,mostofagriculturallandusechangestudiesarefocusedoncultivatedlandchangeanditsimpact,whilefewarefocusedonarablecropareachangebecausecropsownareaestimatesarebasedonstatisticsbyadministrativeunits,andsuchdatalackaccurateinformationonspatialandtemporalvariations.Otherestimatesarebasedonremotesensing,suchdatalimitedbyspatialresolutionwhichisdifficulttocapturethefinerinformationofcrops.Thus,multi-sourcedataintegrationhasbecomeaneffectivewaytodeterminespatialdistributionsofcrops.SpatialProductionAllocationModel(SPAM)isamulti-sourcedataintegrationmodelthatintegratedarablelanddistribution,administrativeunitstatisticsofcropdata,agriculturalirrigationdata,