漂亮的背景PPT模板

漂亮的背景PPT模板

INDIA’S FUTURER B Roy Choudhury Memorial lecture Mumbai

29 January 2007

漂亮的背景PPT模板

Even though the world has just discovered it, the India growth story is not new. It has been going on for 25 years old

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漂亮的背景PPT模板

What is the India story?

漂亮的背景PPT模板

India Story

1) Rising GDP growth% average annual GDP growth

1900 – 1950 1950 – 1980 1980 – 2002 2002 – 2006

1.0 3.5 6.0 8.0

Sources: 1900-1990: Angus Maddison (1995), Monitoring the World Economy, 1990-2000:Census of India (2001), 20002005 Finance Ministry

漂亮的背景PPT模板

India Story

2) Population growth is slowing% average annual growth

1901 – 1950 1951 – 1980 1981 – 1990 1991 – 2000 2001 – 2010

1.0 2.2 2.1 1.8 1.5

Sources: 1900-1990: Angus Maddison (1995), Monitoring the World Economy, 1990-2000:Census of India (2001)

漂亮的背景PPT模板

India Story

3. Literacy is rising1950 1990 2000 2010 (proj) % 17 52 65 80

Source: Census of India (2001)

漂亮的背景PPT模板

India Story

4. Middle class is exploding% Million People

1980 2000 2010 (proj)

8 22 32

65 220 368

Source: The Consuming Class, National Council of Applied Economic Research, 2002

漂亮的背景PPT模板

India Story

5. Poverty is declining1980 2000 2010 (proj) 46% 26% 16%

1% of the people have been crossing poverty line each year for 20 years. Equals ~ 200 million.

漂亮的背景PPT模板

India Story

6. Productivity is rising

30% to 40% of GDP growth is due to rising productivity

漂亮的背景PPT模板

India Story

7. Per capita income gains(US$ ppp) 1980 2000 1178 3051

Source: World Bank

漂亮的背景PPT模板

India Story

8. India is now the economy

th 4

largest

And it will cross Japan between 2012 and 2014 to become the 3rd largest

漂亮的背景PPT模板

THE INDIA MODEL IS UNIQUE

漂亮的背景PPT模板

DRIVERS OF GROWTH IndiaDomestic

East and S.E. AsiaExports

漂亮的背景PPT模板

DRIVERS OF GROWTH IndiaDomestic Services

East and S.E. AsiaExports Manufacturing

漂亮的背景PPT模板

DRIVERS OF GROWTH IndiaDomestic Services Consumption

East and S.E. AsiaExports Manufacturing Investment

漂亮的背景PPT模板

DRIVERS OF GROWTH IndiaDomestic Services Consumption High tech, capital intensive industry

East and S.E. AsiaExports Manufacturing Investment Low tech, labour intensive industry