考博试题

certainty---the usual, though ad hoc, rule of thumb for most economic work---of not being random.

But far from this being an unusual case, Ms McCloskey and Mr Ziliak found that 70% of the papers published during the 1980s in the American Economic Review (AER), one of the most respected journals of the dismal science, failed to distinguish between “economic” and “statistical” significance. They relied too much on numbers, and too little on economic reasoning.

41. The author thinks that economists should

[A] not rely on statistics to try and solve controversies.

[B]not use computers to help them analyze statistics.

[C] hold a skeptical attitude toward statistical figures.

[D] provide definite answers to economic questions.

42. According to Ms McCloskey and Mr Ziliak, many economists

[A] often make good sense of statistic figures.

[B]seldom make fundamental errors in analyzing figures.

[C] often fail to find real meanings in statistic figures.

[D] seldom realize the real nature of statistics.

43. The author mentions the example of medieval Holland (Pare.3) to illustrate that

[A] statistics cannot be used to explain complicated human behaviors.

[B]conclusions should be based on statistically significant relationships.

[C] a correlation that really exists may have come from random results.

[D] a relationship that is statistically significant may lead to wrong conclusions.

44. Professors McCloskey and Ziliak think that the finding of the study in lllinois

[A] was contradictory to the reality.

[B]had great economic significance.

[C] had no statistical significance.